By Published On: November 3, 2021

Thoughts on risk number 13: upside and downside

Risk in often calculated as the variation in returns both above and below the average. This can cause objections as investors are quite happy with higher returns, so why would a higher return somehow add to risk? The statistical assumption is that the return series is part of an (unseen) distribution and every observation contributes to our understanding of this distribution. A high return is just as significant a piece of the distribution as a low return. The standard deviation will then convert the observed return series into a full distribution.


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